Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 26.983078 31.122133 35.593207 40.770601 46.589000 52.913777 60.296991
2025-01-19 18.780496 24.241852 30.716091 38.902605 48.918468 60.710128 75.573838
2025-01-26 15.754226 22.181052 30.358245 41.396851 55.761585 73.659330 97.459742
2025-02-02 14.168934 21.418949 31.186768 45.075795 64.041673 88.723718 122.902839
2025-02-09 12.054100 19.474918 30.016781 45.733541 68.144262 98.456952 141.949982
2025-02-16 10.221406 17.576680 28.552377 45.641348 70.980334 106.455402 158.977502
2025-02-23 8.672269 15.827036 27.011749 45.145277 73.019569 113.289502 174.624129
2025-03-02 7.471184 14.425908 25.783229 44.900979 75.275712 120.428173 190.977177
2025-03-09 6.471325 13.194821 24.643518 44.612353 77.337127 127.288844 207.193669
2025-03-16 5.251976 11.367756 22.265917 42.014244 75.460583 127.958403 214.026439
2025-03-23 4.825273 10.946927 22.249451 43.343211 79.978808 138.712626 236.804694
2025-03-30 4.576769 10.832804 22.756126 45.598200 86.159230 152.401303 264.830255
2025-04-06 3.891877 9.757411 21.424870 44.570178 86.891676 157.709154 280.458385
2025-04-13 3.191034 8.524680 19.641406 42.540544 85.743937 159.923508 291.379015
2025-04-20 3.054157 8.529405 20.316733 45.232794 93.253442 177.150757 328.053725
2025-04-27 3.037598 8.812459 21.592452 49.203473 103.378675 199.414069 374.298481
2025-05-04 2.743326 8.365079 21.259656 49.913013 107.434398 211.303355 403.437603
2025-05-11 2.425100 7.792891 20.573875 49.813538 109.906868 220.485256 428.307108
2025-05-18 2.119784 7.189721 19.730829 49.278333 111.451656 228.027123 450.599759
2025-05-25 1.870731 6.688155 19.052150 49.014742 113.488518 236.541367 474.986384
2025-06-01 1.650393 6.220545 18.387747 48.703305 115.380016 244.851140 499.354163
2025-06-08 1.339527 5.398812 16.714757 45.898930 111.842397 242.622941 504.228025
2025-06-15 1.255830 5.284586 16.849699 47.333616 117.388978 258.165745 542.834700